Monday, February 23, 2015

10 days on: Who will qualify to the Quarter Finals

It has been 10 days since the start of the World Cup 2015 and now is the time to take stock of the situation.

Pool A: 
Teams
Mat
Won
Lost
Tied
N/R
Pts
Net RR
New Zealand
3
3
0
0
0
6
+3.586
Australia
2
1
0
0
1
3
+2.220
Bangladesh
2
1
0
0
1
3
+2.100
Sri Lanka
2
1
1
0
0
2
-0.861
England
3
1
2
0
0
2
-1.415
Afghanistan
2
0
2
0
0
0
-1.175
Scotland
2
0
2
0
0
0
-2.740

Initial Assessment: Our initial prediction has been that Australia, New Zealand, England and Sri Lanka will make it to the quarter-finals.

Ups:
Though Afghanistan has lost their two matches, their match against Sri Lanka was a tough fight. It has been a great debut by them.
New Zealand has been carrying their good work as expected and they are on top of the table.

Downs:
Sri Lanka ‘s win against Afghanistan was a hard fought one. But for Jayawardne’s knock and Perera’s late outburst, they would have found wanted.
England has had a terrible time thus far and the team selection of having Balance, Root and Taylor at the middle order does not give much balance to the team.

Verdict:
Though England have fared badly till now, a win against Afghanistan and Bangladesh will take them to 6 points for a chance to take them to quarter finals. With this, Australia, New Zealand, England and Sri Lanka would quality

 Pool B:
Teams
Mat
Won
Lost
Tied
N/R
Pts
Net RR
India
2
2
0
0
0
4
+2.060
W.Indies
2
1
1
0
0
2
+1.267
Ireland
1
0
1
0
0
2
+0.618
Zimbabwe
2
1
1
0
0
2
-0.495
South Africa
2
1
1
0
0
2
-0.680
UAE
1
0
1
0
0
0
-0.268
Pakistan
2
0
2
0
0
0
-2.260



Initial Assessment: Our initial prediction has been that India, Pakistan, South Africa and W.Indies will make it to the quarter-finals.

Ups:
India has had a terrific run and their win against South Africa might have surprised this team as well. Ireland chasing 300+ against West Indies have given them some impetus into the tournament.

Downs:
‘Chockers’ tag keeps South Africa in an embarrassing situation.
Pakistan’s loss against West Indies have surprised many and with NRR as bad as -2.260, they need a miracle to stay afloat.

Verdict:

Three teams will be in the fray for the quarter final knock out, as these teams might end up with 6 points each. Only 2 of these teams will qualify for the quarter-finals, as India and South Africa will go as per plan.

-          If W.Indies loose to South Africa and India, but win against UAE and Zimbabwe, W.Indies can march ahead to the Quarter finals with 6 points, provided their NRR is not dented.
-          If Pakistan looses to South Africa and win against Ireland, Zimbabwe and UAE, a huge margin of victory against these 3 teams should not only earn them the 6 points, but can also take them to quarter finals. For this, their batting lineup must change.
-          If Ireland wins against UAE & Zimbabwe and manages their NRR against India, SA and Pakistan, then Ireland will get 6 points. 

With this, India, South Africa, W.Indies, Pakistan/Ireland will qualify to the Quarter Final stages.

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